Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 1:15 AM to 1:44 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 1:15 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 33.7809. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:44 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

8.1421.5634.97Oct 1, 1:15 AM ET1:44 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:15 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

8.1421.5634.97Oct 1, 1:15 AM ET1:44 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:15 AM ET33.7809
Projected value at 1:44 AM ET9.08396
Actual value at 1:44 AM ET11.3816
Projected change across the window-24.6969
Actual change across the window-22.3993
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.10×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.10 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (1:21 AM ET), where they sat 0.0500208 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (1:35 AM ET) with a gap of 7.98229. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (1:33 AM ET), a move of -5.28088. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:16 AM29.91535.3537+5.43868
61:21 AM27.93927.889-0.0500208
121:27 AM22.591827.0074+4.41553
181:33 AM16.572410.9051-5.66724
241:39 AM11.501411.5868+0.0853727
291:44 AM9.0839611.3816+2.29765

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.