Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 12:31 AM to 1:00 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 12:31 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -30.1324. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:00 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-29.85-14.730.3988Oct 1, 12:31 AM ET1:00 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:31 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-29.85-14.730.3988Oct 1, 12:31 AM ET1:00 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:31 AM ET-30.1324
Projected value at 1:00 AM ET0.738693
Actual value at 1:00 AM ET-1.0875
Projected change across the window+30.871
Actual change across the window+29.0449
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.06×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.06 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (1:00 AM ET), where they sat 1.82619 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (12:37 AM ET) with a gap of 31.6129. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (12:32 AM ET), a move of +4.85147. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:32 AM-0.218437-25.2809-25.0624
612:37 AM-0.269466-31.8824-31.6129
1212:43 AM1.10561-27.2507-28.3563
1812:49 AM2.05139-16.5809-18.6323
2412:55 AM1.12402-18.0456-19.1696
291:00 AM0.738693-1.0875-1.82619

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.