Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 12:30 AM to 12:59 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 12:30 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -30.1324. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:59 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-29.7-13.432.839Oct 1, 12:30 AM ET12:59 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:30 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-29.7-13.432.839Oct 1, 12:30 AM ET12:59 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:30 AM ET-30.1324
Projected value at 12:59 AM ET3.26982
Actual value at 12:59 AM ET-1.0875
Projected change across the window+33.4022
Actual change across the window+29.0449
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.15×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.15 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:59 AM ET), where they sat 4.35732 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (12:36 AM ET) with a gap of 32.2906. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (12:31 AM ET), a move of +4.85147. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:31 AM-0.194071-25.2809-25.0868
612:36 AM0.408209-31.8824-32.2906
1212:42 AM2.71122-27.2507-29.962
1812:48 AM5.02434-16.5809-21.6052
2412:54 AM3.31031-18.0456-21.3559
2912:59 AM3.26982-1.0875-4.35732

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.