Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 11:53 PM to 12:22 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 11:53 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 17.3618. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:22 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.8223.8136.8Sep 30, 11:53 PM ET12:22 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:53 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.8223.8136.8Sep 30, 11:53 PM ET12:22 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:53 PM ET17.3618
Projected value at 12:22 AM ET10.0752
Actual value at 12:22 AM ET10.9206
Projected change across the window-7.28657
Actual change across the window-6.44118
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.13×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.13 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (12:19 AM ET), where they sat 0.00986444 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (12:04 AM ET) with a gap of 17.782. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (12:09 AM ET), a move of -4.18897. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:54 PM20.073818.3243-1.74951
611:59 PM21.581728.4956+6.91387
1212:05 AM20.535737.9978+17.462
1812:11 AM18.215518.5904+0.374893
2412:17 AM13.17049.07206-4.09833
2912:22 AM10.075210.9206+0.845395

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.