Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 11:49 PM to 12:18 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 11:49 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.3507. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:18 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.68819.4936.28Sep 30, 11:49 PM ET12:18 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:49 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.68819.4936.28Sep 30, 11:49 PM ET12:18 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:49 PM ET23.3507
Projected value at 12:18 AM ET5.55801
Actual value at 12:18 AM ET0.431618
Projected change across the window-17.7927
Actual change across the window-22.9191
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.78×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.78 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (12:15 AM ET), where they sat 0.597577 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (11:56 PM ET) with a gap of 25.002. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (12:01 AM ET), a move of -4.18897. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:50 PM10.546525.8074+15.2608
611:55 PM13.390637.2824+23.8918
1212:01 AM12.796623.1566+10.36
1812:07 AM11.512810.8588-0.654019
2412:13 AM8.4511713.2537+4.8025
2912:18 AM5.558010.431618-5.12639

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.