Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 11:47 PM to 12:16 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 11:47 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 28.4956. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:16 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.620417.7336.08Sep 30, 11:47 PM ET12:16 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:47 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.620417.7336.08Sep 30, 11:47 PM ET12:16 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:47 PM ET28.4956
Projected value at 12:16 AM ET0.239298
Actual value at 12:16 AM ET-3.08456
Projected change across the window-28.2563
Actual change across the window-31.5801
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.89×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.89 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (12:14 AM ET), where they sat 0.0858382 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (11:52 PM ET) with a gap of 31.8255. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (11:57 PM ET), a move of -4.18897. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:48 PM6.9241531.5809+24.6567
611:53 PM6.4718337.9978+31.526
1211:59 PM5.1197918.5904+13.4707
1812:05 AM4.136839.07206+4.93523
2412:11 AM1.463698.06618+6.60249
2912:16 AM0.239298-3.08456-3.32386

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.