Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 10:43 PM to 11:12 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 10:43 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 27.8419. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:12 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

4.49915.4426.37Sep 30, 10:43 PM ET11:12 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:43 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

4.49915.4426.37Sep 30, 10:43 PM ET11:12 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:43 PM ET27.8419
Projected value at 11:12 PM ET9.32023
Actual value at 11:12 PM ET3.03015
Projected change across the window-18.5217
Actual change across the window-24.8118
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.75×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.75 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (11:08 PM ET), where they sat 0.759302 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:43 PM ET) with a gap of 12.942. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (11:12 PM ET), a move of -3.06838. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:44 PM15.255527.7699+12.5144
610:49 PM15.833721.1529+5.31919
1210:55 PM13.228517.0684+3.83992
1811:01 PM11.982615.8191+3.83655
2411:07 PM10.585812.8294+2.24364
2911:12 PM9.320233.03015-6.29008

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.