Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 10:39 PM to 11:08 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 10:39 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 22.3199. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:08 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.0811.5621.05Sep 30, 10:39 PM ET11:08 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:39 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.0811.5621.05Sep 30, 10:39 PM ET11:08 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:39 PM ET22.3199
Projected value at 11:08 PM ET10.4166
Actual value at 11:08 PM ET0.979412
Projected change across the window-11.9032
Actual change across the window-21.3404
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (10:51 PM ET), where they sat 0.161282 apart, and furthest at bar 28 (11:07 PM ET) with a gap of 9.96495. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (11:04 PM ET), a move of -3.06838. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:40 PM16.306621.4529+5.14636
610:45 PM15.571918.5412+2.96931
1210:51 PM15.607615.4463-0.161282
1810:57 PM14.0215.0199+0.999805
2411:03 PM11.69396.09853-5.59542
2911:08 PM10.41660.979412-9.43723

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.