Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 6:19 PM to 6:48 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 6:19 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -37.9838. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:48 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-34.69-10.1814.33Sep 30, 6:19 PM ET6:48 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:19 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-34.69-10.1814.33Sep 30, 6:19 PM ET6:48 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:19 PM ET-37.9838
Projected value at 6:48 PM ET10.5447
Actual value at 6:48 PM ET-2.95074
Projected change across the window+48.5285
Actual change across the window+35.0331
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.39×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.39 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (6:33 PM ET), where they sat 0.0473634 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:19 PM ET) with a gap of 48.6266. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (6:23 PM ET), a move of +9.65147. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:20 PM11.9475-32.4147-44.3622
66:25 PM15.03232.01912-13.0132
126:31 PM16.984214.7809-2.20328
186:37 PM12.571213.5132+0.942037
246:43 PM9.82413-1.21029-11.0344
296:48 PM10.5447-2.95074-13.4954

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.