Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 3:34 PM to 4:03 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 3:34 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 28.2279. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:03 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.743.79725.34Sep 30, 3:34 PM ET4:03 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:34 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.743.79725.34Sep 30, 3:34 PM ET4:03 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:34 PM ET28.2279
Projected value at 4:03 PM ET0.424613
Actual value at 4:03 PM ET0.742647
Projected change across the window-27.8033
Actual change across the window-27.4853
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.01×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.01 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (4:02 PM ET), where they sat 0.168452 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (3:34 PM ET) with a gap of 26.425. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (3:38 PM ET), a move of -8.21765. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:35 PM2.575425.3669+22.7915
63:40 PM2.64336-8.70515-11.3485
123:46 PM3.40549-13.7147-17.1202
183:52 PM3.06158-2.03088-5.09247
243:58 PM1.530251.82721+0.296954
294:03 PM0.4246130.742647+0.318034

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.