Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 3:31 PM to 4:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 3:31 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 20.875. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.180.12118.42Sep 30, 3:31 PM ET4:00 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.180.12118.42Sep 30, 3:31 PM ET4:00 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:31 PM ET20.875
Projected value at 4:00 PM ET7.55767
Actual value at 4:00 PM ET7.78676
Projected change across the window-13.3173
Actual change across the window-13.0882
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.02×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.02 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (4:00 PM ET), where they sat 0.229097 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (3:39 PM ET) with a gap of 27.3968. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (3:33 PM ET), a move of -8.21765. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:32 PM0.58246212.9081+12.3256
63:37 PM6.2091-19.1529-25.362
123:43 PM9.94549-1.45-11.3955
183:49 PM9.678980.399265-9.27971
243:55 PM7.03575-0.439706-7.47545
294:00 PM7.557677.78676+0.229097

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.