Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 7:22 PM to 7:51 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 7:22 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 31.3228. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:51 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-29.05-0.761427.52Sep 29, 7:22 PM ET7:51 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:22 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-29.05-0.761427.52Sep 29, 7:22 PM ET7:51 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:22 PM ET31.3228
Projected value at 7:51 PM ET0.952959
Actual value at 7:51 PM ET-14.7471
Projected change across the window-30.3698
Actual change across the window-46.0699
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.66×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.66 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (7:41 PM ET), where they sat 4.51653 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (7:45 PM ET) with a gap of 32.3497. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (7:42 PM ET), a move of -10.7066. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:23 PM2.4521130.4037+27.9516
67:28 PM0.50492420.2801+19.7752
127:34 PM0.074087120.461+20.3869
187:40 PM-0.82060214.1426+14.9632
247:46 PM-0.363766-32.0213-31.6576
297:51 PM0.952959-14.7471-15.7

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.