Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 3:20 PM to 3:49 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 3:20 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -43.375. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:49 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-41.38-15.5110.35Sep 29, 3:20 PM ET3:49 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:20 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-41.38-15.5110.35Sep 29, 3:20 PM ET3:49 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:20 PM ET-43.375
Projected value at 3:49 PM ET-3.97252
Actual value at 3:49 PM ET-0.810294
Projected change across the window+39.4025
Actual change across the window+42.5647
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.93×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.93 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (3:40 PM ET), where they sat 2.60328 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (3:29 PM ET) with a gap of 33.0914. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (3:40 PM ET), a move of +10.6434. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:21 PM-13.4146-34.3397-20.9251
63:26 PM-12.8057-35.1699-22.3642
123:32 PM-10.5812-40.6904-30.1093
183:38 PM-7.70057-27.1074-19.4068
243:44 PM-4.464913.5654+18.0303
293:49 PM-3.97252-0.810294+3.16222

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.