Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 2:46 PM to 3:15 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 2:46 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 6.51765. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:15 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

8.49523.2237.94Sep 29, 2:46 PM ET3:15 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:46 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

8.49523.2237.94Sep 29, 2:46 PM ET3:15 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:46 PM ET6.51765
Projected value at 3:15 PM ET11.3727
Actual value at 3:15 PM ET15.0779
Projected change across the window+4.85503
Actual change across the window+8.56029
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.57 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (2:55 PM ET), where they sat 1.172 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:46 PM ET) with a gap of 28.1543. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (3:07 PM ET), a move of -7.42941. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:47 PM33.44629.03088-24.4153
62:52 PM37.59822.8338-14.7642
122:58 PM30.892639.9221+9.02944
183:04 PM24.880538.5559+13.6754
243:10 PM14.927122.9676+8.0405
293:15 PM11.372715.0779+3.70527

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.