Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 2:36 PM to 3:05 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 32.6882. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:05 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

6.5922.2137.82Sep 29, 2:36 PM ET3:05 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:36 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

6.5922.2137.82Sep 29, 2:36 PM ET3:05 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:36 PM ET32.6882
Projected value at 3:05 PM ET6.11048
Actual value at 3:05 PM ET16.8059
Projected change across the window-26.5778
Actual change across the window-15.8824
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.67×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.67 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (3:01 PM ET), where they sat 2.03456 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (2:38 PM ET) with a gap of 32.1164. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (2:48 PM ET), a move of -7.42941. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:37 PM5.5456937.5441+31.9984
62:42 PM11.263938.4346+27.1707
122:48 PM6.37125.586+19.215
182:54 PM5.1514119.3037+14.1523
243:00 PM4.49218.17059+3.67849
293:05 PM6.1104816.8059+10.6954

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.