Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 10:57 AM to 11:26 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 10:57 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 18.7676. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:26 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.0499.35117.65Sep 29, 10:57 AM ET11:26 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:57 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.0499.35117.65Sep 29, 10:57 AM ET11:26 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:57 AM ET18.7676
Projected value at 11:26 AM ET2.98946
Actual value at 11:26 AM ET5.83529
Projected change across the window-15.7782
Actual change across the window-12.9324
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.22×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.22 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (10:59 AM ET), where they sat 0.203147 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (11:18 AM ET) with a gap of 10.1816. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (11:21 AM ET), a move of +3.79853. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:58 AM16.086417.6787+1.59231
611:03 AM16.867810.3831-6.48475
1211:09 AM15.049610.7904-4.25921
1811:15 AM12.12098.44118-3.67976
2411:21 AM7.139916.05221-1.08771
2911:26 AM2.989465.83529+2.84583

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.