Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 10:23 AM to 10:52 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 10:23 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 1.71838. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:52 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

4.05821.4838.9Sep 29, 10:23 AM ET10:52 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:23 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

4.05821.4838.9Sep 29, 10:23 AM ET10:52 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:23 AM ET1.71838
Projected value at 10:52 AM ET16.3975
Actual value at 10:52 AM ET13.4243
Projected change across the window+14.6791
Actual change across the window+11.7059
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.25×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.25 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (10:50 AM ET), where they sat 1.7248 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (10:27 AM ET) with a gap of 34.3001. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (10:30 AM ET), a move of +4.75515. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:24 AM25.78051.93897-23.8415
610:29 AM40.913314.7081-26.2052
1210:35 AM37.272224.7434-12.5288
1810:41 AM30.228415.4051-14.8233
2410:47 AM21.94198.93824-13.0037
2910:52 AM16.397513.4243-2.97324

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.