Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 1:33 AM to 2:02 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 1:33 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 5.61397. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:02 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-38.46-17.812.841Sep 29, 1:33 AM ET2:02 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:33 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-38.46-17.812.841Sep 29, 1:33 AM ET2:02 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:33 AM ET5.61397
Projected value at 2:02 AM ET-9.51317
Actual value at 2:02 AM ET-10.7838
Projected change across the window-15.1271
Actual change across the window-16.3978
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (2:01 AM ET), where they sat 0.0501572 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (1:35 AM ET) with a gap of 32.2741. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (1:44 AM ET), a move of -6.51176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:34 AM-26.67073.78824+30.4589
61:39 AM-34.38-13.8074+20.5726
121:45 AM-31.1781-39.039-7.8609
181:51 AM-24.2303-30.8368-6.60648
241:57 AM-15.8488-17.4971-1.64827
292:02 AM-9.51317-10.7838-1.27065

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.