Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 11:33 PM to 12:02 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 11:33 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 3.78529. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:02 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.1455.95413.05Sep 28, 11:33 PM ET12:02 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:33 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.1455.95413.05Sep 28, 11:33 PM ET12:02 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:33 PM ET3.78529
Projected value at 12:02 AM ET-0.872343
Actual value at 12:02 AM ET-1.01324
Projected change across the window-4.65764
Actual change across the window-4.79853
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:02 AM ET), where they sat 0.140892 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:33 PM ET) with a gap of 9.87937. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (11:44 PM ET), a move of -2.225. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:34 PM12.87285.63088-7.24187
611:39 PM11.87638.24485-3.63148
1211:45 PM7.785510.683824-7.10168
1811:51 PM0.511682-2.09853-2.61021
2411:57 PM-0.721576-1.43529-0.713718
2912:02 AM-0.872343-1.01324-0.140892

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.