Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 11:32 PM to 12:01 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 11:32 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 5.63088. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:01 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.036.92314.88Sep 28, 11:32 PM ET12:01 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:32 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.036.92314.88Sep 28, 11:32 PM ET12:01 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:32 PM ET5.63088
Projected value at 12:01 AM ET-0.115708
Actual value at 12:01 AM ET-0.594118
Projected change across the window-5.74659
Actual change across the window-6.225
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:01 AM ET), where they sat 0.478409 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (11:43 PM ET) with a gap of 11.0667. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (11:42 PM ET), a move of -2.225. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:33 PM14.48086.21985-8.26095
611:38 PM15.33989.18235-6.15742
1211:44 PM10.82890.108088-10.7208
1811:50 PM3.88059-2.09485-5.97544
2411:56 PM0.615424-1.44338-2.05881
2912:01 AM-0.115708-0.594118-0.478409

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.