Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 11:31 PM to 12:00 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 11:31 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 6.21985. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:00 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.1885.58912.37Sep 28, 11:31 PM ET12:00 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.1885.58912.37Sep 28, 11:31 PM ET12:00 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:31 PM ET6.21985
Projected value at 12:00 AM ET0.36512
Actual value at 12:00 AM ET0.441912
Projected change across the window-5.85473
Actual change across the window-5.77794
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.01×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.01 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (11:57 PM ET), where they sat 0.0526458 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (11:43 PM ET) with a gap of 8.50629. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (11:40 PM ET), a move of -2.225. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:32 PM12.57776.68971-5.888
611:37 PM10.99088.28235-2.70841
1211:43 PM8.14011-0.366176-8.50629
1811:49 PM1.88904-1.79853-3.68757
2411:55 PM-0.414433-1.43235-1.01792
2912:00 AM0.365120.441912+0.0767915

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.