Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 11:00 PM to 11:29 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 1.83382. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:29 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.92-4.9529.017Sep 28, 11:00 PM ET11:29 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:00 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.92-4.9529.017Sep 28, 11:00 PM ET11:29 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:00 PM ET1.83382
Projected value at 11:29 PM ET-5.07981
Actual value at 11:29 PM ET10.8926
Projected change across the window-6.91364
Actual change across the window+9.05882
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.76×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.76 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (11:23 PM ET), where they sat 7.34464 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:00 PM ET) with a gap of 22.6297. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (11:29 PM ET), a move of +2.07353. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:01 PM-16.89132.05+18.9413
611:06 PM-14.07291.97941+16.0523
1211:12 PM-11.8398-0.336765+11.503
1811:18 PM-8.82431.69265+10.5169
2411:24 PM-5.321512.46765+7.78916
2911:29 PM-5.0798110.8926+15.9725

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.