Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 10:58 PM to 11:27 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 10:58 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 2.05. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:27 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-29.04-9.4510.14Sep 28, 10:58 PM ET11:27 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:58 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-29.04-9.4510.14Sep 28, 10:58 PM ET11:27 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:58 PM ET2.05
Projected value at 11:27 PM ET-5.69981
Actual value at 11:27 PM ET12.7728
Projected change across the window-7.74981
Actual change across the window+10.7228
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.72 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (11:22 PM ET), where they sat 10.5006 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:58 PM ET) with a gap of 33.7219. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (11:26 PM ET), a move of +2.07353. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:59 PM-28.35121.51324+29.8644
611:04 PM-21.14751.07059+22.2181
1211:10 PM-18.05650.425735+18.4822
1811:16 PM-12.8061.31471+14.1207
2411:22 PM-7.378533.12206+10.5006
2911:27 PM-5.6998112.7728+18.4726

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.