Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 9:40 PM to 10:09 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -1.49853. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:09 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.5468.01919.58Sep 28, 9:40 PM ET10:09 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:40 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.5468.01919.58Sep 28, 9:40 PM ET10:09 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:40 PM ET-1.49853
Projected value at 10:09 PM ET1.13516
Actual value at 10:09 PM ET-0.107353
Projected change across the window+2.63369
Actual change across the window+1.39118
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.89×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.89 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (10:09 PM ET), where they sat 1.24251 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (9:43 PM ET) with a gap of 21.0274. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (10:09 PM ET), a move of +3.07941. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:41 PM18.7119-1.33529-20.0472
69:46 PM20.22510.588235-19.6368
129:52 PM14.60680.958824-13.648
189:58 PM6.90589-0.0573529-6.96324
2410:04 PM2.25935-5.09926-7.35862
2910:09 PM1.13516-0.107353-1.24251

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.