Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 7:50 PM to 8:19 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 7:50 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.70515. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:19 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-21.7-7.9235.855Sep 28, 7:50 PM ET8:19 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:50 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-21.7-7.9235.855Sep 28, 7:50 PM ET8:19 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:50 PM ET7.70515
Projected value at 8:19 PM ET-3.87578
Actual value at 8:19 PM ET-2.25074
Projected change across the window-11.5809
Actual change across the window-9.95588
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.16×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.16 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (8:13 PM ET), where they sat 0.0154644 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:50 PM ET) with a gap of 27.3011. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (7:56 PM ET), a move of -7.09559. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:51 PM-21.06535.85221+26.9175
67:56 PM-23.0075-13.1581+9.84939
128:02 PM-19.065-13.2926+5.77238
188:08 PM-14.2329-10.2618+3.97115
248:14 PM-8.21366-8.62868-0.415013
298:19 PM-3.87578-2.25074+1.62505

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.