Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 7:47 PM to 8:16 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 7:47 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 0.886765. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:16 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.94-7.6754.594Sep 28, 7:47 PM ET8:16 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:47 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.94-7.6754.594Sep 28, 7:47 PM ET8:16 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:47 PM ET0.886765
Projected value at 8:16 PM ET-4.0445
Actual value at 8:16 PM ET6.24191
Projected change across the window-4.93127
Actual change across the window+5.35515
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (7:59 PM ET), where they sat 0.600414 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (8:16 PM ET) with a gap of 10.2864. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (7:50 PM ET), a move of -7.09559. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:48 PM-11.222-1.83971+9.38226
67:53 PM-18.324-20.7353-2.41126
127:59 PM-16.5556-15.9551+0.600414
188:05 PM-12.1317-6.93824+5.19347
248:11 PM-7.91257-4.36176+3.55081
298:16 PM-4.04456.24191+10.2864

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.