Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 7:39 PM to 8:08 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 7:39 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -19.8882. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:08 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.22-5.7726.672Sep 28, 7:39 PM ET8:08 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:39 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.22-5.7726.672Sep 28, 7:39 PM ET8:08 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:39 PM ET-19.8882
Projected value at 8:08 PM ET1.50527
Actual value at 8:08 PM ET3.25
Projected change across the window+21.3935
Actual change across the window+23.1382
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (7:59 PM ET), where they sat 0.73131 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:39 PM ET) with a gap of 17.9577. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (8:00 PM ET), a move of +3.45221. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:40 PM-1.4948-16.6007-15.1059
67:45 PM2.10754-14.2779-16.3855
127:51 PM1.63002-9.05735-10.6874
187:57 PM1.13883-3.46838-4.60721
248:03 PM1.429548.34338+6.91384
298:08 PM1.505273.25+1.74473

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.