Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 7:16 PM to 7:45 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 7:16 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.17721. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:45 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.8160.8187.452Sep 28, 7:16 PM ET7:45 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:16 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.8160.8187.452Sep 28, 7:16 PM ET7:45 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:16 PM ET7.17721
Projected value at 7:45 PM ET-1.91474
Actual value at 7:45 PM ET-1.95588
Projected change across the window-9.09194
Actual change across the window-9.13309
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.00×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.00 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (7:29 PM ET), where they sat 0.010533 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (7:18 PM ET) with a gap of 11.2629. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (7:28 PM ET), a move of -4.99706. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:17 PM-2.774548.34338+11.1179
67:22 PM-4.4493.25+7.699
127:28 PM-4.50859-1.63529+2.8733
187:34 PM-3.29943-3.02794+0.271486
247:40 PM-2.481645.59044+8.07208
297:45 PM-1.91474-1.95588-0.0411462

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.