Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 4:22 PM to 4:51 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 4:22 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 68.3125. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:51 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.4525.9263.29Sep 28, 4:22 PM ET4:51 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:22 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.4525.9263.29Sep 28, 4:22 PM ET4:51 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:22 PM ET68.3125
Projected value at 4:51 PM ET-16.4661
Actual value at 4:51 PM ET0.940441
Projected change across the window-84.7786
Actual change across the window-67.3721
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.26×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.26 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (4:37 PM ET), where they sat 11.8185 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:22 PM ET) with a gap of 68.6811. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (4:25 PM ET), a move of -11.3824. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:23 PM0.54757263.336+62.7885
64:28 PM-4.285418.6684+22.9538
124:34 PM-6.1387818.0463+24.1851
184:40 PM-4.863712.6221+17.4858
244:46 PM-2.753220.3419+23.0951
294:51 PM-16.46610.940441+17.4065

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.