Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 3:28 PM to 3:57 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 3:28 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 30.2551. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:57 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-50.85-0.433549.98Sep 28, 3:28 PM ET3:57 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:28 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-50.85-0.433549.98Sep 28, 3:28 PM ET3:57 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:28 PM ET30.2551
Projected value at 3:57 PM ET-53.0552
Actual value at 3:57 PM ET-57.6176
Projected change across the window-83.3104
Actual change across the window-87.8728
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (3:56 PM ET), where they sat 4.31967 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (3:43 PM ET) with a gap of 54.8304. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (3:50 PM ET), a move of -10.6801. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:29 PM-3.8146329.3978+33.2124
63:34 PM-1.1540220.3515+21.5055
123:40 PM-0.0441944.3044+44.3486
183:46 PM2.4713248.7544+46.2831
243:52 PM-22.5724-10.4287+12.1437
293:57 PM-53.0552-57.6176-4.56242

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.