Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 1:45 PM to 2:14 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -55.9272. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:14 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-48.943.09355.13Sep 28, 1:45 PM ET2:14 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:45 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-48.943.09355.13Sep 28, 1:45 PM ET2:14 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:45 PM ET-55.9272
Projected value at 2:14 PM ET-18.2948
Actual value at 2:14 PM ET-12.0125
Projected change across the window+37.6324
Actual change across the window+43.9147
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (2:09 PM ET), where they sat 2.27816 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (1:52 PM ET) with a gap of 81.9977. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (1:54 PM ET), a move of +14.3471. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:46 PM-8.07888-51.1404-43.0616
61:51 PM21.4922-51.0169-72.5091
121:57 PM52.2626.22426-46.0377
182:03 PM17.7698-7.26691-25.0367
242:09 PM-12.8115-15.0897-2.27816
292:14 PM-18.2948-12.0125+6.28231

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.