Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 1:18 PM to 1:47 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -11.9206. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:47 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.3735.7181.79Sep 28, 1:18 PM ET1:47 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.3735.7181.79Sep 28, 1:18 PM ET1:47 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:18 PM ET-11.9206
Projected value at 1:47 PM ET20.5258
Actual value at 1:47 PM ET19.9853
Projected change across the window+32.4464
Actual change across the window+31.9059
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.02×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.02 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (1:47 PM ET), where they sat 0.54047 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (1:30 PM ET) with a gap of 99.522. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (1:35 PM ET), a move of +7.95809. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:19 PM45.4364-11.6721-57.1085
61:24 PM30.2152-11.0206-41.2358
121:30 PM83.5139-16.0081-99.522
181:36 PM87.973719.4147-68.559
241:42 PM14.305217.6103+3.30509
291:47 PM20.525819.9853-0.54047

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.