Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 1:12 PM to 1:41 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -11.5875. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:41 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.1534.1788.49Sep 28, 1:12 PM ET1:41 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:12 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.1534.1788.49Sep 28, 1:12 PM ET1:41 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:12 PM ET-11.5875
Projected value at 1:41 PM ET-27.4439
Actual value at 1:41 PM ET4.16618
Projected change across the window-15.8564
Actual change across the window+15.7537
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.01×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.01 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (1:36 PM ET), where they sat 0.548727 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (1:19 PM ET) with a gap of 109.172. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (1:24 PM ET), a move of +7.95809. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:13 PM28.2558-11.0206-39.2763
61:18 PM91.5462-16.5625-108.109
121:24 PM95.782614.3243-81.4584
181:30 PM74.385518.1522-56.2333
241:36 PM19.436619.9853+0.548727
291:41 PM-27.44394.16618+31.6101

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.