Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 12:53 PM to 1:22 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 12:53 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 15.2037. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:22 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-67.04-9.14748.74Sep 28, 12:53 PM ET1:22 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:53 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-67.04-9.14748.74Sep 28, 12:53 PM ET1:22 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:53 PM ET15.2037
Projected value at 1:22 PM ET56.5177
Actual value at 1:22 PM ET38.1522
Projected change across the window+41.314
Actual change across the window+22.9485
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.80×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.80 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (1:19 PM ET), where they sat 0.718838 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (1:00 PM ET) with a gap of 89.8617. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (1:22 PM ET), a move of +7.45441. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:54 PM-35.65414.7125+50.3665
612:59 PM-71.23717.5662+88.8032
121:05 PM-59.54820.0338235+59.582
181:11 PM-19.71855.86691+25.5854
241:17 PM5.2283919.475+14.2466
291:22 PM56.517738.1522-18.3655

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.