Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 12:52 PM to 1:21 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 14.7125. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:21 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-33.947.3848.7Sep 28, 12:52 PM ET1:21 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:52 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-33.947.3848.7Sep 28, 12:52 PM ET1:21 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:52 PM ET14.7125
Projected value at 1:21 PM ET51.6873
Actual value at 1:21 PM ET42.4162
Projected change across the window+36.9748
Actual change across the window+27.7037
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.33×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.33 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (1:10 PM ET), where they sat 3.67677 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (12:55 PM ET) with a gap of 52.8586. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (1:20 PM ET), a move of +7.45441. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:53 PM-33.643815.5809+49.2246
612:58 PM-29.125615.05+44.1756
121:04 PM-34.46571.34044+35.8062
181:10 PM9.527515.85074-3.67677
241:16 PM49.001723.4265-25.5753
291:21 PM51.687342.4162-9.27116

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.