Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 12:24 PM to 12:53 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 12:24 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 30.6978. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:53 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.5627.6772.89Sep 28, 12:24 PM ET12:53 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:24 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.5627.6772.89Sep 28, 12:24 PM ET12:53 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:24 PM ET30.6978
Projected value at 12:53 PM ET-13.5408
Actual value at 12:53 PM ET-1.4
Projected change across the window-44.2386
Actual change across the window-32.0978
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.38×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.38 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (12:27 PM ET), where they sat 5.58941 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:24 PM ET) with a gap of 48.2695. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (12:43 PM ET), a move of -15.3118. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:25 PM77.092538.1522-38.9403
612:30 PM19.917445.9691+26.0517
1212:36 PM41.311848.2235+6.91171
1812:42 PM0.33582132.6956+32.3598
2412:48 PM-19.2433-2.57574+16.6675
2912:53 PM-13.5408-1.4+12.1408

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.