Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 10:20 AM to 10:49 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 10:20 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -13.211. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:49 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-45.95-16.8712.21Sep 28, 10:20 AM ET10:49 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:20 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-45.95-16.8712.21Sep 28, 10:20 AM ET10:49 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:20 AM ET-13.211
Projected value at 10:49 AM ET-43.6454
Actual value at 10:49 AM ET16.1206
Projected change across the window-30.4344
Actual change across the window+29.3316
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.04×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.04 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (10:26 AM ET), where they sat 0.952267 apart, and furthest at bar 28 (10:48 AM ET) with a gap of 65.1132. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (10:33 AM ET), a move of +7.46985. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:21 AM-27.7666-13.4588+14.3077
610:26 AM-23.4559-22.5037+0.952267
1210:32 AM-13.1826-7.62574+5.55688
1810:38 AM-3.647097.83382+11.4809
2410:44 AM-27.33338.63456+35.9678
2910:49 AM-43.645416.1206+59.766

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.