Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 10:10 AM to 10:39 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 10:10 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -13.9706. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:39 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-44.16-14.6714.82Sep 28, 10:10 AM ET10:39 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:10 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-44.16-14.6714.82Sep 28, 10:10 AM ET10:39 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:10 AM ET-13.9706
Projected value at 10:39 AM ET9.10018
Actual value at 10:39 AM ET10.1088
Projected change across the window+23.0708
Actual change across the window+24.0794
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.96×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.96 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (10:38 AM ET), where they sat 0.851087 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (10:13 AM ET) with a gap of 48.1247. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (10:12 AM ET), a move of +7.46985. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:11 AM-47.2406-7.62574+39.6148
610:16 AM-12.098110.5971+22.6952
1210:22 AM-6.889116.21471+13.1038
1810:28 AM-8.4966616.1206+24.6173
2410:34 AM10.488917.6831+7.19421
2910:39 AM9.1001810.1088+1.00864

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.