Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 9:44 AM to 10:13 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 9:44 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 15.0096. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:13 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-53.72-21.5210.68Sep 28, 9:44 AM ET10:13 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:44 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-53.72-21.5210.68Sep 28, 9:44 AM ET10:13 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:44 AM ET15.0096
Projected value at 10:13 AM ET-55.7101
Actual value at 10:13 AM ET-31.8426
Projected change across the window-70.7197
Actual change across the window-46.8522
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.51×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.51 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (10:13 AM ET), where they sat 23.8675 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:44 AM ET) with a gap of 61.4713. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (10:07 AM ET), a move of -8.34926. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:45 AM-47.102912.7669+59.8698
69:50 AM-34.77496.03162+40.8066
129:56 AM-18.130413.811+31.9414
1810:02 AM-31.459110.936+42.3951
2410:08 AM-55.0321-16.7963+38.2357
2910:13 AM-55.7101-31.8426+23.8675

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.