Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 9:02 AM to 9:31 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 9:02 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -6.9125. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:31 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-32.49-14.413.665Sep 28, 9:02 AM ET9:31 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:02 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-32.49-14.413.665Sep 28, 9:02 AM ET9:31 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:02 AM ET-6.9125
Projected value at 9:31 AM ET-15.7074
Actual value at 9:31 AM ET3.74706
Projected change across the window-8.79491
Actual change across the window+10.6596
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.83×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.83 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (9:22 AM ET), where they sat 0.116785 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (9:31 AM ET) with a gap of 19.4545. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (9:27 AM ET), a move of +5.18456. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:03 AM-0.70928-5.79559-5.08631
69:08 AM-4.16544-11.2816-7.11618
129:14 AM-26.5675-10.5956+15.9719
189:20 AM-25.8698-17.6015+8.26837
249:26 AM-17.225-15.9213+1.30371
299:31 AM-15.70743.74706+19.4545

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.