Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 8:45 AM to 9:14 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 8:45 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -18.7919. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:14 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.126.11230.35Sep 28, 8:45 AM ET9:14 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:45 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.126.11230.35Sep 28, 8:45 AM ET9:14 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:45 AM ET-18.7919
Projected value at 9:14 AM ET10.7635
Actual value at 9:14 AM ET14.5647
Projected change across the window+29.5554
Actual change across the window+33.3566
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.89×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.89 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (9:13 AM ET), where they sat 0.292379 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (8:49 AM ET) with a gap of 36.1653. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (8:53 AM ET), a move of +5.18456. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:46 AM10.9296-17.6015-28.531
68:51 AM12.2975-19.5507-31.8482
128:57 AM13.38253.74706-9.6354
189:03 AM30.6442-2.87574-33.52
249:09 AM24.78480.333088-24.4517
299:14 AM10.763514.5647+3.8012

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.