Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 8:39 AM to 9:08 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 8:39 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -15.9213. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:08 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-33.08-10.6511.77Sep 28, 8:39 AM ET9:08 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:39 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-33.08-10.6511.77Sep 28, 8:39 AM ET9:08 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:39 AM ET-15.9213
Projected value at 9:08 AM ET-36.088
Actual value at 9:08 AM ET4.48824
Projected change across the window-20.1666
Actual change across the window+20.4096
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.99×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.99 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (8:44 AM ET), where they sat 0.691578 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (9:08 AM ET) with a gap of 40.5762. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (8:40 AM ET), a move of +5.18456. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:40 AM3.08038-10.7368-13.8171
68:45 AM1.831495.91397+4.08248
128:51 AM-9.04749-3.59118+5.45631
188:57 AM-14.06092.4625+16.5234
249:03 AM-15.185512.2949+27.4803
299:08 AM-36.0884.48824+40.5762

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.