Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 8:07 AM to 8:36 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 8:07 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 1.83162. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:36 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.69726.3662.41Sep 28, 8:07 AM ET8:36 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:07 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.69726.3662.41Sep 28, 8:07 AM ET8:36 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:07 AM ET1.83162
Projected value at 8:36 AM ET-14.5388
Actual value at 8:36 AM ET-7.75662
Projected change across the window-16.3704
Actual change across the window-9.58824
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.71×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.71 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (8:25 AM ET), where they sat 0.309547 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (8:11 AM ET) with a gap of 61.7763. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (8:27 AM ET), a move of -6.80515. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:08 AM48.97770.6375-48.3402
68:13 AM64.89088.43529-56.4555
128:19 AM32.000112.361-19.639
188:25 AM3.156633.46618+0.309547
248:31 AM-8.88716-5.59191+3.29525
298:36 AM-14.5388-7.75662+6.78214

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.