Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 7:05 AM to 7:34 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 7:05 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -3.65515. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:34 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.9211.2136.34Sep 28, 7:05 AM ET7:34 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:05 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.9211.2136.34Sep 28, 7:05 AM ET7:34 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:05 AM ET-3.65515
Projected value at 7:34 AM ET-16.4341
Actual value at 7:34 AM ET-12.8904
Projected change across the window-12.7789
Actual change across the window-9.23529
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.38×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.38 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (7:30 AM ET), where they sat 0.413201 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:05 AM ET) with a gap of 33.093. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (7:08 AM ET), a move of +6.71765. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:06 AM25.6383-2.74632-28.3846
67:11 AM30.111814.2618-15.85
127:17 AM34.400511.436-22.9645
187:23 AM23.71897.02353-16.6953
247:29 AM10.06577.1375-2.92823
297:34 AM-16.4341-12.8904+3.54364

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.