Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 6:21 AM to 6:50 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 6:21 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -33.7831. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:50 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-30.86-9.06112.73Sep 28, 6:21 AM ET6:50 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:21 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-30.86-9.06112.73Sep 28, 6:21 AM ET6:50 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:21 AM ET-33.7831
Projected value at 6:50 AM ET-8.71818
Actual value at 6:50 AM ET-7.60662
Projected change across the window+25.0649
Actual change across the window+26.1765
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.96×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.96 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (6:50 AM ET), where they sat 1.11156 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (6:41 AM ET) with a gap of 27.3509. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (6:27 AM ET), a move of +7.69706. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:22 AM-15.0815-31.2471-16.1655
66:27 AM-6.97974-3.63971+3.34003
126:33 AM-4.794317.65074+12.445
186:39 AM-22.85233.91618+26.7685
246:45 AM-16.9315-5.26765+11.6638
296:50 AM-8.71818-7.60662+1.11156

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.