Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 4:15 AM to 4:44 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 4:15 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 14.8949. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:44 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.24.86120.92Sep 28, 4:15 AM ET4:44 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:15 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.24.86120.92Sep 28, 4:15 AM ET4:44 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:15 AM ET14.8949
Projected value at 4:44 AM ET-9.17
Actual value at 4:44 AM ET-0.901471
Projected change across the window-24.0649
Actual change across the window-15.7963
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.52×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.52 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (4:29 AM ET), where they sat 0.489017 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (4:19 AM ET) with a gap of 14.8784. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (4:19 AM ET), a move of -3.90441. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:16 AM15.358214.8625-0.495686
64:21 AM11.89010.366912-11.5232
124:27 AM-9.89095-8.86471+1.02624
184:33 AM-11.2069-5.7625+5.44442
244:39 AM-1.36482.03162+3.39642
294:44 AM-9.17-0.901471+8.26853

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.