Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 2:06 AM to 2:35 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 2:06 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -36.8713. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:35 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-38.39-16.934.535Sep 28, 2:06 AM ET2:35 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:06 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-38.39-16.934.535Sep 28, 2:06 AM ET2:35 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:06 AM ET-36.8713
Projected value at 2:35 AM ET4.16839
Actual value at 2:35 AM ET7.41691
Projected change across the window+41.0397
Actual change across the window+44.2882
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.93×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.93 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (2:22 AM ET), where they sat 2.32209 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (2:11 AM ET) with a gap of 38.667. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (2:26 AM ET), a move of +5.88676. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:07 AM-6.26659-38.436-32.1694
62:12 AM1.19831-36.5206-37.7189
122:18 AM-30.1165-34.7441-4.6276
182:24 AM-36.2143-18.3537+17.8606
242:30 AM-16.71555.66838+22.3838
292:35 AM4.168397.41691+3.24852

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.