Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 1:26 AM to 1:55 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 1:26 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -7.32206. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:55 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-29.63-17.62-5.61Sep 28, 1:26 AM ET1:55 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:26 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-29.63-17.62-5.61Sep 28, 1:26 AM ET1:55 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:26 AM ET-7.32206
Projected value at 1:55 AM ET-20.5255
Actual value at 1:55 AM ET-21.1221
Projected change across the window-13.2034
Actual change across the window-13.8
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.96×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.96 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (1:55 AM ET), where they sat 0.596607 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (1:34 AM ET) with a gap of 16.3901. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (1:55 AM ET), a move of +5.37941. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:27 AM-12.5193-7.85221+4.6671
61:32 AM-11.2171-23.5471-12.3299
121:38 AM-5.68019-16.9522-11.272
181:44 AM-5.87552-16.3-10.4245
241:50 AM-12.6232-28.0096-15.3863
291:55 AM-20.5255-21.1221-0.596607

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.