Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 1:00 AM to 1:29 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -30.0257. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:29 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-40.92-22.24-3.555Sep 28, 1:00 AM ET1:29 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:00 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-40.92-22.24-3.555Sep 28, 1:00 AM ET1:29 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:00 AM ET-30.0257
Projected value at 1:29 AM ET-4.34242
Actual value at 1:29 AM ET-5.00368
Projected change across the window+25.6833
Actual change across the window+25.0221
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.03×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.03 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (1:29 AM ET), where they sat 0.661259 apart, and furthest at bar 17 (1:17 AM ET) with a gap of 34.559. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (1:15 AM ET), a move of -7.26103. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:01 AM-3.10773-26.5015-23.3937
61:06 AM-3.59827-10.8912-7.29291
121:12 AM-3.58139-22.2463-18.6649
181:18 AM-8.0845-41.8574-33.7729
241:24 AM-8.84742-29.0684-20.221
291:29 AM-4.34242-5.00368-0.661259

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.