Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 12:19 AM to 12:48 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 12:19 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 24.4287. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:48 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.25220.4539.65Sep 28, 12:19 AM ET12:48 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:19 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.25220.4539.65Sep 28, 12:19 AM ET12:48 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:19 AM ET24.4287
Projected value at 12:48 AM ET19.5835
Actual value at 12:48 AM ET17.189
Projected change across the window-4.84514
Actual change across the window-7.23971
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.67×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.67 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (12:47 AM ET), where they sat 1.12544 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (12:34 AM ET) with a gap of 23.7816. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (12:37 AM ET), a move of -5.30441. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:20 AM17.828827.8978+10.069
612:25 AM28.054336.3537+8.2994
1212:31 AM20.408940.2051+19.7963
1812:37 AM5.7107823.861+18.1502
2412:43 AM5.0121113.3169+8.3048
2912:48 AM19.583517.189-2.39456

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.